Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.357053 0.466080 0.584984 0.722426 0.875236 1.038457 1.224587
2025-08-17 0.175352 0.306670 0.469060 0.674652 0.919921 1.196656 1.526682
2025-08-24 0.085807 0.210286 0.385000 0.623676 0.923533 1.274464 1.704754
2025-08-31 0.040864 0.154460 0.337567 0.605648 0.957012 1.379848 1.908845
2025-09-07 0.019174 0.122934 0.314973 0.612879 1.016158 1.511346 2.139604
2025-09-14 0.005631 0.092826 0.286455 0.606319 1.053555 1.613391 2.332962
2025-09-21 0.000190 0.065601 0.254423 0.589223 1.073200 1.690604 2.494092
2025-09-28 NaN 0.059465 0.259741 0.627203 1.166446 1.860058 2.767535
2025-10-05 NaN 0.056788 0.271181 0.674318 1.272099 2.045336 3.060613
2025-10-12 NaN 0.051564 0.275603 0.709594 1.361009 2.209095 3.327211
2025-10-19 NaN 0.052211 0.293386 0.766568 1.480435 2.412316 3.642969
2025-10-26 NaN 0.049174 0.301490 0.807339 1.576951 2.586023 3.922270
2025-11-02 NaN 0.038236 0.288277 0.814290 1.629138 2.707414 4.143460
2025-11-09 NaN 0.020040 0.244708 0.765561 1.599801 2.722096 4.231796
2025-11-16 NaN 0.007380 0.201458 0.710446 1.556711 2.715419 4.290442
2025-11-23 NaN 0.002590 0.179538 0.691271 1.564707 2.774893 4.431249
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000980 0.171907 0.698985 1.612937 2.888105 4.640364
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000038 0.157979 0.691963 1.637524 2.968761 4.807437
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.139984 0.673622 1.643082 3.022653 4.939503
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.148416 0.714340 1.742509 3.205656 5.238656
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.161063 0.764744 1.857528 3.410297 5.566031
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.168096 0.802411 1.952293 3.587158 5.857612
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.185269 0.863131 2.083936 3.814937 6.215282